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France - what's hot and what's not

Tuesday, July 22, 2008
Les Echos has grilled private sector Gauls as to where they would be prepared to move for work, so courtesy of their data (and my mapping - the crapauds used a PDF...) here's where to go if you want to hang out with the young Turks, or how to avoid them:
Red is where 56-72% would regard relocation there as desirable
Orange - 40-56%
Yellow - 24-40%
White - 8-23%

That they fancy the South is no huge surprise - Provence-Alpes Cotes d'Azur is top at 72% - and I know that the West is generally well favoured. There is no option to choose the DOM-TOMs - Martinique, Tahiti and - ahem - St Pierre & Miquelon etc, otherwise doubtless that would scoop the pool. However, I assumed that Nord-Pas de Calais (17%) would be bottom of the heap, but it isn't - that honour goes to Champagne Ardennes at 8%. Shame they did not take it down to departmental level.

As to the more adventurous ones, it isn't Kensington they are all pining for, but rather Montreal and Geneva, with Quebec, ahem, Canada (88%) leading followed by the US (73%), Switzerland, Spain, Luxembourg (nothing to do with the tax situation, everything to do with the crazy nightlife...) and only then Albion Perfide. Shunned Francophone lands and ex colonies include Belgium and both North and Southern Africa. The latter is last at 16%.

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If Brown loses Glasgow East....

Monday, July 07, 2008
For the sheer joy of psephology, I have been rooting around in the electoral stats at Richard Kimber's PolSci resources page at Keele University, and have come up with a list of the pigs with red rosettes that would be left if Labour were to lose Glasgow East by one vote.

By my reckoning, there would be some 40 Labour MPs left, all having majorities of 13,600 or more. However, it is not a list awash with household names, those that would definitely (?) register with the man in the street being Skinner, D, Brown, G, Blunkett, D, Reid, J, Byers, S, Vaz, K and Cooper, Y.

Wonks and other obsessives will know of Chris Bryant - no sniggering at the back -, Eric Joyce, Ian McCartney (short trollish character, yes?), Fraser 'the undertaker' Kemp, Andy 'how much mascara are you sporting?' Burnham and Peter Kilfoyle. I suspect that John Cummings of Easington, Joe Benton of Bootle and Francis Hywel of Aberavon can use public transport without being harassed by voters from outside their constituencies.

I'd like to see the Dour One knock up a shadow cabinet from that rather unpromising timber.

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Where London works

Friday, July 04, 2008

(Click for legibility)

Courtesy of Focus on London, again, plus a little light data mining, a breakdown of employment by borough.

That the City and Westminster lead is not a huge surprise, but I do not think I would have guessed all of Camden (Holborn / Covent Garden), Tower Hamlets (Docklands), Hillingdon (Heathrow), Islington (City borders) , Southwark (South Bank). Sweet home Croydonia comes in at eighth, courtesy of my own ward of Fairfield.

At the other end of the scale, there are just 45,081 jobs in Barking & Dagenham, compared to 561603 in Westminster. However, the ward with the fewest jobs is Fieldway in Croydon - 524. There are 185430 in St James....

Time for one more gratuitous map:

Red - 250000+ employees
Orange - 100,000-250,000
Yellow - 70,000-99,999
Pale yellow - less than 69,999

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Oh (mountain) mama...

For your edification, I present a map of teeth preservation by US state:

And the most toothless state in the Union, by a country mile, is West Virginia - 42.8% of over 65s have had all their gnashers removed. The western side of the Appalachians would appear to be the place to be a dentist, as Kentucky and Tennessee are second and third. Alabama, Louisiana and Oklahoma round out the top six, all at 30%+. At the other end of the scale are Connecticut, Utah (remember The Osmonds?) and California.

West Virginians also ate all the moon pies, with 61.2% overweight / obese. Bottom is DC at 50.2%. Conversely, West Virginians must be too busy eating to drink, as they are last for heavy drinking. I would call them lightweights, but... Way out on the edges of Lake Michigan lurk the United Kingdom's drinking partners, with the Cheeseheads of Wisconsin leading for both heavy drinking and binge drinking.

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What about the warranties?

Monday, June 16, 2008
From Hansard:

"To ask the Secretary of State for Defence what percentage of (a) CRVT, (b) Saxon, (c) Warrior and (d) Challenger vehicles are (i) in service, (ii) fit for purpose and (iii) out of service"

CRVT stands for Combat Vehicle Reconnaissance (Tracked), and would seem to involve variants on what was the Scorpion design (chaps of my vintage will remember it well). Anyway, it looks to me as though any commander in charge of one of these things could do with RAC membership, or somesuch, as out of just shy of 1200, only 58% are 'Fit for purpose (currently available)', with this caveat worth noting, 'includes vehicles awaiting minor repairs and those currently in transit to operational theatres'.

The Heptarchs would be pleased that the Saxon is a tad more reliable - 97% are ready to roll. 74% of Warriors are likewise raring to go, as are 95% of Challengers.

It used to be said that much of the Soviet Union's tank force was out of commission due to thirsty soldiers having drunk the anti-freeze, so I do hope that the Naafi is keeping our squaddies lubricated.

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I want my €116 back. Do you?

Tuesday, May 06, 2008
The EU's budget has been published, and the total to be spent on agriculture and ancillary matters comes to, get this, €57,525,729,686.00. Yup, there it is, on page 19.

Which is quite a lot of money. I make that £44,870,069,155.00.

Taking the population of the EU as being 497,198,740 that gives a cost of the CAP, per head, in direct costs only as €115.69 or £90.25.

(Edited to remove the superfluous renderings of the figure in full. Copy and paste problems not seen at the time of posting).

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The claustrophobics' guide to Europe

Tuesday, April 22, 2008
Like, I imagine, most of us, I was unaware of the work of EuroTAP, the European Tunnel Assessment programme. My lack of awareness notwithstanding, they have been busy, erm, assessing tunnels, and the results are in.

And nervous travellers should shun Italy, which is bottom of the league for tunnels tested :

"Tunnels with a "very poor" rating were found in five countries only, mostly in Italy (10 out of 15 tunnels) and Norway (4 out of 9 tunnels). The most positive results were found in Croatia (98.3%) followed by Slovenia (95.9%) and Austria (91.1%)".

And what makes for a bad tunnel? The Segesta and Paci 2 tunnels show how not to do it:

"[They] were rated "very poor"...Although these two tunnels had two separate tubes with unidirectional traffic, apart from the lighting system, there was no other form of traffic or operating safety equipment that could enable the detection of incidents, help people to rescue themselves, or help rescue services to fight fires".

Not enough of our tunnels were tested for Blighty to be included in the rankings, but here are the individual scores for tunnels tested:

Medway - Very poor
Mersey Kingsway - Good
Mersey Queensway - Acceptable

The TAP site is filled with tunnel-related goodness, including video, the audit report quoted above and an exciting tunnel driving test.

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Some corner of a foreign field...

Thursday, April 17, 2008
I am indebted to the Turkish Daily News for this marvelous stat shot:

"January data indicates that a total of 60,351 immovable properties on an area of 37,125,330 square meters were sold to 70,336 foreign nationals in Turkey. British citizens topped the list, owning 4,867,676 square meters of land (or 7.6%. C), daily Milliyet reported yesterday".

More data like this, please.

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The gift of seeing ourselves as others see us

Thursday, March 20, 2008
Is what the British Council has just supplied:

On the upside, our Hibernian neighbours judge us open - 39%, as do 38% of Poles (perhaps they were thinking of our borders...), and 56% of Americans think us reliable, which is nice. Only 9% of Gauls think this of us. Remind us not to save your ungrateful hides the next time Germany invades...

Elsewhere, the Irish and the Americans think us sensible at 47% and 43%, but only 9% of the French. Then again they rave about Benny Hill and Mr Bean, don't they? 44% of Spaniards judge us bold / daring. We would appear to be in the throes of a bout of self-loathing, as we fail to top the table for any of the positives.

On the downside, a third of my co-nationals judge us aggressive, as do a third of Turks. The Turks do not seem very keen on Albion - 35% think we are snobbish and 49% think us manipulative, and 24% - quelle horreur - vulgar. The Spaniards are not keen either. All countries polled, bar France, saw 32% or more thinking us snobbish. The figure for France was 5%, which is curious, to say the least.

More later, but 52% of Americans think the French snobbish. The rest have not got as far as Paris yet....

Given that this seems to have brought forth a small outburst of patriotism in the comments, 'The English' by Flanders and Swann might appeal too. In order to avoid offending the other nations sharing these islands with us, I will skip straight to verse five:

And crossing the channel one cannot say much
For the French or the Spanish, the Danish or Dutch
The Germans are German, the Russians are red
And the Greeks and Italians eat garlic in bed

The English are noble, the English are nice
And worth any other at double the price

And all the world over each nation's the same
They've simply no notion of playing the game
They argue with umpires, they cheer when they've won
And they practice before hand which spoils all the fun

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Fact o' the day, or the sheep will inherit the Earth

Wednesday, March 19, 2008


There are 27 million sheep - that's the woolly quadruped type given to baa-ing - in the United Kingdom. Spain is not far behind, apparently.

Further digging throws up some less recent, if neverthless interesting figures:

"In 2003 the world sheep population was estimated at 1.03 billion head. Based on numbers, the leading sheep countries, in descending order, were China (173,899,000), Australia (100,100,000), India (62,500,000), Iran (54,000,000), Sudan (48,000,000), New Zealand (39,928,000), United Kingdom (35,253,000), South Africa (25,316,000), Turkey (25,201,000), and Pakistan (24,900,000). The United States had 6,135,000 sheep, less than 1 percent of the world total". Source

So, Oz, Sudan and - obviously - New Zealand have sheep majorities.

(The sheep pictured are enjoying the Swedish island of Gotland. The friend who sent me the postcard has written on the back, 'Gotland has long been a holiday paradise for [nationality deleted] tourists'.)

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Is the world going to Hell in a handcart, or is it just that Ban Ki-Moon needs a thesaurus?

Tuesday, March 04, 2008
Certain stock phrases will always popular with politicians, and perusing the UN press room for the umpteenth time I was struck by how Ban Ki-moon goes in for being 'deeply concerned'. So, in pursuit of adding to the sum total of human knowledge, I have searched the UN site for three phrases, and charted them for the last decade:

(click for improved legibility)

The 'deeply concerned' tally for 2008 is a fairly encouraging five, and would suggest a year end total of 30 - the lowest this decade, but with 'deeply worried' at one, 12 would be quadruple the 2002 high. Alarming.....

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Fun with statistics

Thursday, January 31, 2008
Part of a staggeringly complacent statement from Vernon 'hokey' Coaker:

"Homicide remains thankfully rare: the number of homicides has fallen from 769 in 2005/06 to 757 in 2006/07 with the risk of being a victim of homicide one in 13.7 million".

First off, that fall is statistically insignificant, and hardly worth trumpeting as a fall. And secondly, where did he get that figure of 1 in 13.7m from? Let us say that the population is roughly 60m, because it is. I make 60m / 757 a 1 in 79000 chance. Still not ideal odds, admittedly, but rather better than those for Russian Roulette. Unless I have got something horribly wrong, Big Vern seems to think the UK's population is 10.3 billion, or roughly that of the world, and half again. No wonder it is murder getting a seat on the train.

(Meanwhile, Big Vern's website visitors are a dim lot - asked whether 'Cannabis be reclassified from a class C drug to a class B drug', an impressive 31% thought it was worth clicking 'not sure'....)

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'Reagan' - A fine name, but as a christian name?

Friday, December 14, 2007
Ronald the Great's surname was the 80th most popular name for girls born in the US last year, apparently (regn. required).

Four of the leading five - Sophia, Isabella, Emma, Madison (another highly rated President, but also the name of a number of towns) and Ava are more conventionally feminine sounding.

As to chaps, all the rage are Aiden, Ethan, Jacob, Jayden and Caden. Each to their own I suppose. Only the top ten names have been available, but in 2006 William (a fine name...) made #25.

Much as there is a total absence of Wongs called Suzie these days, Britney did not feature in 2006, and presumably not in 2007.

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The future belongs to London. And Plymouth Argyle.

Thursday, December 06, 2007
From Hansard:

Helen Southworth: To ask the Secretary of State for Culture, Media and Sport how many qualified football coaches are active in (a) boys and (b) girls football in each UK region. [170105]

Mr. Sutcliffe: We do not hold this information. However, I can confirm that DCMS and Sport England are currently funding nearly 250 football Community Sports Coach (CSC) posts, broken down by region as follows:

  • East 35
  • East Midlands 4
  • London 80
  • North East 7
  • North West 23
  • South East 19
  • South West 33
  • West Midlands 28
  • Yorkshire 9
Perhaps I spend too much time analysing data during the times I am actually working, but those figures struck me as less than proportionate to the populations of the English regions, and so they proved. London is the most over represented - 15% of the population but a third of the coaches. The West Midlands, East of England and the South West also get more than their fair shares, while the South East (fancy...), East Midlands, Yorkshire, the North West and the North East get - to descending degrees - the shaft.

Hence my headline, whereas it is not looking good for Brighton & Hove Albion, Reading and Southampton, for instance.

The previously obscure Helen Southworth (about whom I can discover nothing of interest at all) represents Warrington South, and so could have a good old moan about the fate of the North West and feel aggrieved that a range of clubs in her neck of the woods are not benefiting from better trained teenagers.

The respondent, Gerry Sutcliffe is almost equally as dull, and could pout and whinge about his home club of Bradford. However, he has given me the amusement of this quote: "In the 1980s we didn't take people with us. We had trendy Wendys and Nigels who enjoyed spouting left-wing politics which they had never lived, and who didn't want people in the party who didn't understand procedure". Bar Ms Alexander, the only Socialist I can find in Westminster/Edinburgh/Cardiff is Nigel Griffiths.

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I've seen the future and it's grey...

Tuesday, December 04, 2007
Or at least in terms of vehicle colours, apparently (registration required)

"From a global perspective, overall colour popularity is beginning to shift from silver to an increased interest in grey".

Not for the first time, it is Latin Americans leading a cultural shift: "Grey [was second] in Mexico, with 15 percent and [third in] Brazil with 15%".

Not very Carmen Miranda, is it?

On the off chance it had passed anyone by, black and silver are the most popular in Europe, DuPont not deigning to to go a greater degree of detail in its breakdown.

Whatever became of 'Ford Capri orange and Volkswagen yellow and gold', eh?


  

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Some number crunching for Jack Straw

Friday, November 30, 2007
"And it's not just a matter of profound irritation but profound anger to everybody involved in the Labour Party, 99.9 per cent recurring, who are completely straight and upstanding". Source

Right-o, let's run the numbers. Apparently, Labour party membership stands at around 177,000.

So, 99.9% gives 177 crooked and prone members.
99.99% gives 18 crooked
and prone members.
99.999% gives a mere - and less than credible, given this week's events - 1.8 crooked
and prone members.

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Goalposts on wheels....

Tuesday, November 20, 2007
I like to think I am only county, rather than national or international standard when it comes to cynicism, but I think I may be about to graduate. Alternatively, I spend far more time than is healthy scanning the headlines at the EU press room.

Anyway, faced with this, Questions and Answers on Gross Domestic Product (GDP) , I suspected that foul play was afoot, and indeed it is.

So, "What is GDP? GDP is the gross domestic product of a country. It measures the total final market value of all goods and services produced within a country during a given period. GDP is the most frequently used indicator of market activity and is most often measured on an annual or quarterly basis to gauge the growth of a country's economic activity between one period and another. GDP is also a measure of total consumer, investment and government spending plus the value of exports minus imports".

Reasonable enough, yes?

But here come (some of) the caveats, the weasellings, the evasions, the non-sequiturs (typos are in the original):

"But the way GDP takes into account social and environmental issues in measuring economic growth is questionable. GDP does not factor in a number of elements important in determining the well-being of people. For example, it overlooks the value of certain non-market goods and services such as natural resources and unpaid activities and leisure... Average income provides no indication about the distribution of income between citizen. And it focuses on short-term economic activities rather than longer-term sustainable development aspects such as the growth of natural, economic and human capital".

Note how the essentially clear-cut and measurable is at risk of being muddied with the intangible or abstract. Let us say I was a Frenchman living alone and barred from working overtime, and found it hard to make ends meet. How 'wonderful' would all that leisure time be to me then?

'Distribution between citizen (sic)' - Now what could this possibly imply? Could it possibly be that a more even distribution would be more in keeping with 'social justice', and therefore a good thing? I think that is exactly what the writer of this Q&A thinks.

"Citizens are as a general rule better off if they are richer. However, the quality of life or well-being also depends on the type of goods consumed, the amount of leisure time available, the relationship with families and friends, and the health of the surrounding environment. Today a greater number of people feel their well-being is undermined by too much pressure of work, unemployment, family break-ups, pollution and climate change."

Me, I'd accept a 500% pay increase in return for a bit more acid rain.


And what is the EU going to do?

"The European Union is committed in taking leadership in the move to integrate non-economic factors into policy-making beyond those currently used by mainstream economic indicators. A preliminary version of an integrated environmental economic accounting system is due to be operational by 2010. The special importance of this system is that it would include stock taking of natural resources and human and social capital rather than just the use of these resources. The system would also focus on the role of eco-systems in providing welfare."

And for why?: "GDP does not measure wealth. It measures consumption and investments in a given year, not how rich people are, or how much wealth society has through the accumulation of buildings, machinery, consumer goods, schools, universities, road and rail networks, and art. There are very few statistics on material wealth and even fewer on natural, environmental, social and cultural wealth. Material wealth too often overshadows the pursuit of non-material wealth. Access to improved data on non-material and non-economic wealth would help citizens and policy-makers better balance the various aspects of well-being. This is what sustainable development is all about".

That is my favourite bit I think. A value is going to be placed on the Haywain, the Fighting Temeraire, the Cairngorms and for all I know the view from my office window (I'd rate that as worth maybe 10 pence a day), the graveyard of old PC bits lurking in the cupboard and my pile of yellowing copies of Private Eye.

And why are they going to all this effort? Because fiddling around with figures allows various countries in the EU to outdo the OECD average for things as nebulous as 'Ecological footprint /person (hectares)', 'Healthy life indicator' and 'Happy life'. Just an oh so minor point to note, the OECD includes the US, Canada, Japan, Korea and our Antipodean kin, not that the EU data tsars think that there in any way comparing themselves to them....

As to 'happy life', Denmark is the place to be at 62.7 years. The UK is 'rated' 55.2, and given some fairly grim years in the past, I must be entitled to a good few decades yet.

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Would you sell your name, and other pressing issues

Thursday, October 25, 2007
Zogby has a poll on various internet and other issues, and the commissioning party decided that what the world really needed to know was whether Mr / Mrs / Ms etc America would sell his or her name for $100,000.

Keenest to take up the offer were African Americans at 26.3% very likely / likely and 18-24 year olds at 34%. Libertarians were keener than Republicans and Democrats at 33.9% to 18.2% and 22.8%. The 70+ demographic was least keen - 73.2% not at all likely.

A further key issue was whether one would wish to have the internet accessible from one's brain (if safe etc etc), which is fairly tempting and would make one a whiz at pub quizzes: 19.2% of Asian Americans fancied it compared to 4.5% of African Americans. The self-defined very conservative managed 11.2%, which is odd.

Elsewhere, progressives and libertarians need to pull out the modem cable and get out more, with 31.3% and 35.8% reckoning "that for a relatively short period of time the Internet can serve as a substitute for a significant other" Mind you, it does not ask whether it is a good substitute.

As to inserting a device into a child that one might better track it, a shocking 18.1% think that would be just dandy, with southerners (20.4%), Catholics (21.1%) and conservatives 21.1% especially keen. And hats off to the 80.9% of progressives who would feel 'uneasy'. I think there should be an outbreak of pointing and jeering at the 13.8% of those in civil unions who were 'unsure'.

Finally, if you have tears, prepare to shed them now: 5.7% of Americans consider the iPhone sexier than Halle Berry, Scarlett Johannsson, Patrick Dempsey and Derek Jeter. I have no idea who the latter two are, by the way. And 8% of progressives, 8.9% of libertarians and 9.1% of Hispanics. The divine Ms Berry leads in most demographics, bar the very conservative and 25-34, both of which prefer La Johannsson

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What is it with Portsmouth?

Thursday, October 18, 2007
The Home Office has been helpful enough to release statistics on arrests, banning order and the like by football club for last year, and comparing those with average attendance gives the rogues' list of clubs with the worst records.

And as the headline has rather given away, it is Portsmouth that has the worst fans, so to speak - 110 banning orders last year, or 0.56% of its average gate of 19,257. Middlesborough follows with 0.31%, Wigan with 0.22% and Chelsea at 0.19%. And there was I thinking that Chelsea fans were all prawn sandwich eaters. And which clubs have the best behaved fans? Fulham (0.03%) and Arsenal (0.07). Note for Dizzy - Everton's score is 0.11%, and for Iain Dale - WHU's is 0.12%

Further digging in the lower leagues makes it appear that Millwall lives up to its grim reputation, with 104 banning orders, giving 1.3% of its average gate of 8,132.

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Global attitudes - and there are some surprises in there

Monday, October 08, 2007
Pew Research has just released one of its studies, this time on attitudes to sundry economic and social questions and polled folk in some 47 countries and territories, including us, the US, Canada, France, Germany, China, India and Japan.

And which countries are keenest on international trade? Senegal, Israel, Ivory Coast, Kenya, China, Kuwait and Malaysia - all at 90% or more. The US is last, at 59%. As later figures in the report make clear, it is Democrats who do not get it. We manage a middling 78%.

The Ivory Coast and Bangladesh have citizens most convinced of the benefits of free markets at 80% and 81% respectively. Bulgaria is bottom of the class on 42%.

The Ivory Coast is keenest on restricting immigration at 94%, and the South Koreans the least at 25%. The Ivory Coast has seen extensive economic migration from its neighbours, and I suspect the Koreans are thinking about their kin on the other side of the '38th parallel'.

Where are tin rattlers from the Friends of the Earth most likely to be shunned? Indonesia, the only country where a majority of respondents disagreed that the state should 'Protect the environment even if it slows growth and costs jobs'. Given that so much of Bangladesh is prone to flooding, their apparent enthusiasm for tree hugging (93%) is not that surprising.

In a moderately encouraging development, the proportion of Britons considering that government has to much control over our daily lives has risen from 54% in 2002 to 64% now. However, it is Bangladesh where there might appear to be the greatest scope for a Libertarian movement - 84% reckoning there to be too much control. Moloch is altogether more popular in Ghana and Peru, with only 31% concerned about encroachments.


More later, maybe.

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