French pollsters asking foolish questions
On the face of it, it might seem a little curious that only 34% of Gauls wish to see a run off between Sarko and Sego in the second round of the Presidential election, but I suspect that asked who they wanted their man or woman to face the wily Gauls concluded that they would rather see a no-hoper as the opposition....
Digging around in the details of Libé's poll, Sarko outpolls Sego for 'understanding the concerns' of manual workers and employees, as does Trotskyite Arlette Laguiller. Maybe the toiling masses are just not ready for quasi-Blairism. In a comparatively encouraging development, 61% are very or somewhat interested in the election, compared to 38% ahead of the 2002 contest. Which makes me think that there will be a Sarko/Sego run off as there will be less willingness to vote for the fringe parties and risk a re-run of the 2002 contest.
Elsewhere, the barbs are flying, with a Socialist spokesperson commenting: "the extreme right is galloping back...Behind the media circus, Nicolas Sarkozy has made a speech that is extremely worrying for our fellow-citizens and our country". And he's like Berlusconi, apparently.
In other coverage, Le Figaro notes that there were some 60 accredited bloggers at the UMP bunfight, most of whom look to have been on side, so to speak, with a few other high profile blogggers thrown into the mix. It looks as though the equivalent of our friend Iain is Loïc Le Meur, who is not only one of the most read, but also owns one of the main blog platforms and advises the UMP on internet strategy. Loïc notes that there more people read blogs in France than the press, which is a bit of jaw dropper, although a sub 8m readership for the printed press is pretty feeble - and less than that for the News of the World alone
Digging around in the details of Libé's poll, Sarko outpolls Sego for 'understanding the concerns' of manual workers and employees, as does Trotskyite Arlette Laguiller. Maybe the toiling masses are just not ready for quasi-Blairism. In a comparatively encouraging development, 61% are very or somewhat interested in the election, compared to 38% ahead of the 2002 contest. Which makes me think that there will be a Sarko/Sego run off as there will be less willingness to vote for the fringe parties and risk a re-run of the 2002 contest.
Elsewhere, the barbs are flying, with a Socialist spokesperson commenting: "the extreme right is galloping back...Behind the media circus, Nicolas Sarkozy has made a speech that is extremely worrying for our fellow-citizens and our country". And he's like Berlusconi, apparently.
In other coverage, Le Figaro notes that there were some 60 accredited bloggers at the UMP bunfight, most of whom look to have been on side, so to speak, with a few other high profile blogggers thrown into the mix. It looks as though the equivalent of our friend Iain is Loïc Le Meur, who is not only one of the most read, but also owns one of the main blog platforms and advises the UMP on internet strategy. Loïc notes that there more people read blogs in France than the press, which is a bit of jaw dropper, although a sub 8m readership for the printed press is pretty feeble - and less than that for the News of the World alone
Labels: France, opinion polls
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on Monday, January 15, 2007 at 10:05 am.
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I tend to agree with you. It's going to be a straight Sego-Sarko grapple in the first round. If Sarko retains his expected 32-3% in the second round of voting and gathers part/all of LePen's 14-16% plus Francois Bayrou's expected 10%, plus other assorted "rightists", Sarko is a winner. The global lefty media are very excited, nay orgasmic, about Sego, but the fact of the matter is that the electoral maths are on Sarko's side. The only problem for sarko in the first round is how he ought to deal with Le Pen- ignore him? condemn him? take him on or not?
I would think a few hints about being tough on law and order etc will be quite effective.
It is worth noting that a few elections back Chirac made some rather unsubtle comments about 'the noise and the smell' coming from a Frenchman's neighbour 'with 3 or 4 wives, 20 kids and making FF50000 [a month] from social security, all without working, naturally'. Not too hard to work out who he was referring to..... I can't see Sarko going that far. More here
I just posted on this and can't really see Royal going through, despite her pretty ways. Some of her statements have been pretty left field.
You never can tell with the French. They were nationalising things in the early *1980s*.
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