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The French predict a riot

Or rather 'a social explosion', which might well be rather more dramatic than some desultory lobbing of cobblestones at the CRS.

And here are the figures, party by party, with the first five representing the Left, then the Liberals, then the Gaullists, then the Front and then 'those without partisan sympathies'.



Gaullists are the least convinced of a 'social explosion', followed by the Liberals, the Greens and the old school Trots of Lutte Ouvrière. A high proportion of the latter probably discount the possibility of événements for ideological reasons. At the other end of the scale are the Communists and the Front, with 82% and 86% expecting things to kick off.

Away from political parties, women are more convinced it will happen at 74% to 56% for men, as are 35-64 year olds (70%). Parisians are the most optimistic (in my terms, that is), with 56% of the conurbation concerned, compared to 69% in the NW, SE and SW. One is tempted to think that the fear of civil unrest increases with the relative unlikelihood of participating, as 18-24 year olds - the backbone age cohort of any riot, revolution, pointless demo - are among the least convinced at 64%.

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