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Be careful where you buy a house in France

The French news sites are filled with those glorious electoral maps that are staple of results day coverage, thus sparing me any need to concoct one from the results at the Ministry of the Interior. Said ministry gives results down to commune level, and I am bit alarmed that the extremist parties plus the huntin', shootin' and fishin' candidate polled a shade under 40% in my mother's commune in the South West. Sego won there. I'm shocked, shocked.

Here is a simple one, courtesy of Le Monde:

More detail in graphic form here
Royal fared rather better in the North West and West than Sarko, something of a turnaround from 2002. Bayrou took his home département of Pyrenees Atlantique, as I am sure he had hoped. Royal won her département of Deux-Sèvres 34/27.

Le Pen's strongest regional showing of 15.4% was in Picardy, Trot Besancenot's 5.6% in Nord Pas De Calais, and Communist Buffet 3.4% in Limousin and Corsica. Voynet of the Greens only topped 2% in Alsace, which is quite near her old stomping ground of Franche-Comté. José Bové's 'stronghold' was Midi-Pyrénées - 1.9%.

De Villiers, the eurosceptic and pin up of French monarchists performed far better in Pays de la Loire and Poitou Charente than anywhere elsewhere, peaking at 5% in PdlL.

As to our man Sarko, his best showing was Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur - 37.01%, just outdoing Corsica's 37%. Midi-Pyrénées showed the least enthusiasm at 26.3%, where Sego got her best regional figure - 31.1%. I have excluded consideration of the DOM-TOMs in the analysis above.

As to the DOM-TOMs, New Caledonia almost delivered a knock out for Sarko - 49.7%, and Martinique for Sego - 48.5%

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Blogger james higham said... 10:28 am

Mr. C, you're clearly the site to come for election news. could you give a little commentary on the figures and how you see it going in the next rounds?  



Blogger Croydonian said... 10:42 am

James - I've always been one for this sort of thing. I have a collection of results maps for the UK going back to the 1980's....

I think it is very much Sarko's to lose. He has run a rather slicker campaign than Sego, and I think that if he strikes the right balance he can attract the bulk of the votes that went to Bayrou and enough of the Le Pen waverers to win it. It is a much bigger ask for Royal - if she secures all of the votes of the minor left parties, that only takes her to 36.4%. She would need 7/9ths of Bayrou's vote (always supposing no FN voters vote for her in the second round which, of course, some will). While Bayrou is saying that his supporters are not for sale, as it were, his party is Sarko's party's coalition partner.  



Blogger Guthrum said... 11:18 am

My Commune in the Pays De Loire

Went

41% Sarkozy
23% Bayrou
18% Royale

As I said you can trust a man with a tractor in Mayenne !

I agree with you its Saro's to lose, the anti-sarkoist vote is already mobilising photomontages of the Thatcheresque restructuring, riots,unemployment,closed factories- not sure if the French are yet ready for the 'homme de fer'  



Blogger Croydonian said... 11:36 am

Guthrum - and I'm a bit worried about the Trots and so forth in the village where my children live. Still, their mother voted Sarko....

I suspect that an elected Sarko will bottle it, the way the French Right always does.  



Blogger The Hitch said... 1:24 pm

"James - I've always been one for this sort of thing. I have a collection of results maps for the UK going back to the 1980's...."

Will , This could be the real reason that your father in law attempted suicide.  



Blogger The Hitch said... 1:28 pm

I have a sneaking suspicion that it will be the french that break up the EU ( when it suits them ) and that time may not be so far away, followed by mass repatriations of darkies, low taxes and liberalised firearms laws.
Then it will be heaven on earth.  



Blogger Newmania said... 2:03 pm

You`ll have to tell me when the French thing is over C. I don`t do Gallic.

I `d like to see some result maps on London C if you have them I have been trying for ages to some idea of what the realistic chance of removing Livingstone is . He being a bum hole an'all it might be nice if we did .

In view of the Dyke Fiasco I have a feeling they have given up on a real Conservative .

Au Revoir  



Anonymous verity said... 2:23 pm

How did they vote in l'Herault, Croydonian, please? That's where I used to live and as far as I could gather, there were hordes of closet LePen voters. Of course, anywhere with a large population from the Magreb ...  



Anonymous this guy said... 4:49 pm

How extraordinaire that the east & north are so solidly non-red. Surely the Nord-PdC shd be red? Or did the other lefties undermine her vote?

Looks like the end my friend for John-Mary. Rather than a daughter, I'd prefer to see this Golnisch character take over. A racist Prof of Jap Kultur you don't get tous les jours.  



Anonymous this guy de nuvo said... 4:56 pm

En effet I've just looked up N/PdC via yr excellent link and the loony left (incl. the fake-Greens or Verts-bidon - a fave cheval de bataille of mine) got 11pc and Sharko only devanced madame by 3pc.

A la prochaine.  



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