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Picking Hillary - do the Dems know what they are doing?

Hillary Clinton is the runaway favourite to get the nod from the Dems for their presidential nomination, but a Zogby poll makes her the most divisive of the candidates from both sides - 50% of those polled say that they would never vote for her, a four percentage point rise on the last Zogby poll. She is followed by Kucinich with 49% antipathy, and a preliminary search shows him to be very liberal (in the American sense...). The worst performance for any GOP candidate is Ron Paul, with 47% of pollees 'nevers'. Full disclosure time, Paul is my 'heart' candidate for the presidency.

Down at the other end of the scale, the American people can only muster 34% hostility to Bill Richardson (D), 35% for Huckabee (R) and 37% for Obama.

So, what of Richardson, that he has failed to generate much(-ish) hostility? The Cato Institute rate him "one of the most fiscally responsible Democratic governors", is very popular in New Mexico - "received the highest percentage of votes than in any gubernatorial election in the state's history".

On the social issue shibboleths, "Richardson is pro-choice, supports the death penalty and gun rights, and advocates affirmative action policies in government contracts. While he voted in favor of the Defense of Marriage Act in 1996, he has since supported LGBT rights in his career as governor; he added sexual orientation and gender identity to New Mexico's list of civil rights categories, and opposes the "don't ask, don't tell" policy".

He is currently the fifth favourite for the Democratic nomination at Betfair (95), and I think a trading bet of a fiver or so might be in order. Here is his campaign website. He looks a bit like a younger and lardier Melvin Bragg.

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