A US update
My migration to Blogger Beta having failed miserably, again, back to the knitting...
Senate-wise, the Republicans are looking good to hold a majority, with three of the marginal states - Tennessee, Virginia and Missouri leaning GOP-wards, and Montana now weakening for the Dems. Pennsylvania and Ohio have polled Dem consistently, and short of a vey big October surprise, I'd go for Rep 51/52, Dem 48/49. The Dems look very likely to have a majority in the House, currently projected at 225/208 with two ties.
Liebermann looks set to beat Lamont in Conn, with the Republicans doing the equivalent of losing his deposit - he's polling in single figures, so fingers crossed my £20 on Liebermann will turn out to offer free money. That the Dems are not standing against Lugar is scandalous - the Tories stand for Glasgow seats, and Labour in Surrey. Having checked, the Libertarians are standing in Indiana, although I can't say I fancy Steve Osborn's chances.
Maps, data, graphics beyond the dreams of psephological avarice have been put on the Washington Post's website.
Over at Betfair, Dems in the majority is trading at 1.31/1.34 versus 3.55/4.1 for the GOP. The Senate is a tad more even: GOP majority at 1.51/1.74 to 2.52/2.86 for the Dems. No especially tempting prices are to be had on individual senate seats now, alas.
Senate-wise, the Republicans are looking good to hold a majority, with three of the marginal states - Tennessee, Virginia and Missouri leaning GOP-wards, and Montana now weakening for the Dems. Pennsylvania and Ohio have polled Dem consistently, and short of a vey big October surprise, I'd go for Rep 51/52, Dem 48/49. The Dems look very likely to have a majority in the House, currently projected at 225/208 with two ties.
Liebermann looks set to beat Lamont in Conn, with the Republicans doing the equivalent of losing his deposit - he's polling in single figures, so fingers crossed my £20 on Liebermann will turn out to offer free money. That the Dems are not standing against Lugar is scandalous - the Tories stand for Glasgow seats, and Labour in Surrey. Having checked, the Libertarians are standing in Indiana, although I can't say I fancy Steve Osborn's chances.
Maps, data, graphics beyond the dreams of psephological avarice have been put on the Washington Post's website.
Over at Betfair, Dems in the majority is trading at 1.31/1.34 versus 3.55/4.1 for the GOP. The Senate is a tad more even: GOP majority at 1.51/1.74 to 2.52/2.86 for the Dems. No especially tempting prices are to be had on individual senate seats now, alas.
This entry was posted
on Monday, October 30, 2006 at 10:41 pm.
You can skip to the end and leave a response.
Ah, it is good to hear Lieberman is beating Lamont in the OP's. I can't stand the Dem netroots who helped put Lamont where he is now.
They would be unbearable if he won connecticut and it would be a real blow to those of us trying to protect ourselves from jihad.
I'm convinced people like Lamont and the Kos Kids are not just anti Iraq war, but want to embrace the sort of nutjob Islamists who are trying daily to kill our lads in Iraq and Afghanistan.
Will - I read the anti Liebermann campaign as being the Democrat activists going into their 'Michael Foot' phase - No compromise with the electorate etc etc and ideological purity before the practical... I've said it here before, but by all (erm, one) account, the automated cold calling of Dem voters by the Liebermann team at the time of the challenge by Lamont seriously hacked people off.
Check e mails for "Verity " news
what does that mean?
Beats me...
Sorry, verity is in the DT today. I was trying to be considerate . Not getting much right at the moment.
YOUR VIEW
“ As there’s no such thing as climate change ,except the natural cycles that take place regularly over two or three hundred years , I won`t be giving up a damn thing. I fact , I think I think I `ll drive my gas guzzler around aimlessly just for the he’ll of it “ VERITY
superb,cheers Newmania
Mmm, I love the smell of comment spam in the morning.
» Post a Comment