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Israeli Opinion Polls

Just seen a polling report at the Jerusalem Post, which shows heavy falls for Labour and Kadima and a sharp upswing for the Likud and Yisrael Beytenu.

Here are the predicted seats for the leading parties, with current seat totals bracketed:

Likud 24 (12)
Yisrael Beytenu 24 (11)
Kadima 14 (29)
Labour 9 (19)

The item doesn't give a full breakdown for the religious parties, but past experience suggests that there is very little movement in their support year on year. The make up of the 17th Knesset can be found here.

While Israeli governments are invariably coalitions owing to its particular system of PR, those results would put the ideologoical Right firmly in the driving seat, and Likud/YB would be rather less reliant on the religious parties for getting an overall majority. Both parties are a good deal less flexible in dealing with the PA than are Labour and Kadima. Interesting times, and the slump in support for Labour is intriguing. This, after all, is the party than ran the country uninterruptedly from '48 up until the Likud breakthrough in '77.

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